Boys -
Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2005
-
2006 -
2007
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Northridge |
100.0% |
1.2 |
74 |
24 |
177 |
84.2 |
11.5 |
3.2 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Elkhart Memorial |
100.0% |
3.1 |
120 |
42 |
239 |
8.1 |
35.9 |
24.8 |
15.0 |
8.3 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Huntington North |
100.0% |
3.9 |
133 |
50 |
269 |
4.0 |
23.1 |
23.9 |
18.1 |
12.0 |
8.0 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bishop Dwenger |
100.0% |
4.3 |
141 |
52 |
255 |
2.5 |
16.6 |
20.2 |
20.1 |
14.7 |
11.1 |
6.3 |
4.6 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wawasee |
100.0% |
5.8 |
164 |
62 |
286 |
0.5 |
5.5 |
10.2 |
15.1 |
17.1 |
15.8 |
12.6 |
9.9 |
6.6 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northrop |
100.0% |
6.6 |
174 |
50 |
267 |
0.2 |
2.2 |
5.3 |
9.9 |
14.4 |
16.6 |
16.3 |
15.4 |
10.5 |
5.9 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DeKalb |
100.0% |
6.9 |
178 |
77 |
297 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
4.5 |
8.6 |
12.9 |
16.0 |
17.5 |
15.4 |
11.6 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carroll (FW) |
100.0% |
7.3 |
185 |
66 |
327 |
0.2 |
2.7 |
5.6 |
7.8 |
10.7 |
12.5 |
14.3 |
13.1 |
12.3 |
8.4 |
5.9 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Noble |
100.0% |
8.1 |
197 |
91 |
323 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
7.4 |
11.0 |
14.7 |
16.7 |
16.0 |
11.9 |
8.3 |
4.9 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oak Hill |
100.0% |
10.2 |
227 |
138 |
334 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
8.5 |
16.6 |
24.9 |
22.0 |
15.0 |
7.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Snider |
100.0% |
11.0 |
244 |
104 |
368 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
5.7 |
8.1 |
12.3 |
17.2 |
21.3 |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Muncie Southside |
100.0% |
11.3 |
246 |
147 |
362 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
6.7 |
13.5 |
21.8 |
28.6 |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bellmont |
100.0% |
11.3 |
250 |
114 |
362 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
7.0 |
11.3 |
16.7 |
23.1 |
33.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Bobby Moldovan |
Northrop |
15:40 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
61.6 |
23.6 |
10.2 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jaurice Dye |
Elkhart Memorial |
15:50 |
100.0% |
1.9 |
20.2 |
33.3 |
25.7 |
14.6 |
3.9 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ben Reifenberg |
Bishop Dwenger |
15:55 |
100.0% |
2.6 |
9.3 |
21.7 |
29.6 |
26.2 |
7.3 |
3.4 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Loren Spirito |
Northridge |
15:56 |
100.0% |
2.7 |
8.8 |
20.4 |
28.0 |
30.7 |
7.8 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
Nathan Morrow |
DeKalb |
16:18 |
100.0% |
6.2 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
8.4 |
19.8 |
16.0 |
12.1 |
9.7 |
7.8 |
5.3 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
Ladd Mercer |
Northridge |
16:19 |
100.0% |
6.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
5.2 |
18.5 |
17.8 |
13.5 |
10.6 |
7.8 |
5.7 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
Ryan Smythe |
Wawasee |
16:23 |
100.0% |
8.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
3.7 |
10.9 |
12.3 |
11.9 |
10.4 |
8.6 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
Matt Ditzler |
Huntington North |
16:24 |
100.0% |
8.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
3.2 |
10.8 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
10.7 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Andrew Albert |
Northridge |
16:28 |
100.0% |
9.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.2 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
9.9 |
8.9 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
Chuck Wysong |
West Noble |
16:31 |
100.0% |
11.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.3 |
5.8 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
Harrison Fausey |
Columbia City |
16:33 |
100.0% |
12.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
7.0 |
6.2 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
Matt Kimbrell |
Muncie Southside |
16:34 |
100.0% |
13.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
Derrick Thomas |
Elkhart Memorial |
16:35 |
100.0% |
13.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
Zach Burns |
Lincoln (Cambridge City) |
16:37 |
100.0% |
15.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
Matt McClain |
Oak Hill |
16:37 |
100.0% |
15.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
Cameron Balser |
Oak Hill |
16:41 |
100.0% |
18.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
Sam Bird |
Northrop |
16:43 |
100.0% |
19.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
Ryan Perry |
Kokomo |
16:43 |
99.7% |
20.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
Wade Buchs |
DeKalb |
16:43 |
100.0% |
20.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
Matt Ullmer |
Northwestern |
16:44 |
99.6% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.6 |